Buttery-Platter
0x4bb5507d7f8d44a6b5732502d47ab8b3d920dfca
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
125
Open notional
$119.22
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$-482.95
Win rate
20%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 125- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 23?
51 shares @ 82.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$50.33
$8.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 23?
47 shares @ 82.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$37.69
$-0.68
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 23?
30 shares @ 83.5¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$26.44
$1.36
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 25?
419 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-168.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 11?
377 shares @ 65.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-246.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22?
300 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-52.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 27?
281 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-68.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 15?
208 shares @ 74.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-155.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 23?$14.87Jul 23, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 23?$15.67Jul 23, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 23?$8.18Jul 23, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 23?$16.40Jul 23, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 23?$4.75Jul 23, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 23?$4.14Jul 23, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 22?$100.00Jul 22, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 22?$134.38Jul 22, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 22?$170.91Jul 22, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 22?$66.35Jul 22, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 23?$16.74Jul 22, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 23?$12.79Jul 22, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 23?$4.07Jul 22, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 23?$3.89Jul 22, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 23?$1.82Jul 22, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 23?$3.16Jul 22, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 22?$58.56Jul 22, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 22?$5.63Jul 22, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 22?$23.07Jul 22, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 22?$99.05Jul 22, 06:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $19.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 08:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 04:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.