Raw-Renaissance
0x4bb759a0fe7f819d27830a2322ecef79c56a4929
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-25.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
588 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$588.24
$88.24
- NO
Altcoin market cap dip to $160B by December 31?
551 shares @ 90.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$550.57
$50.57
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
366 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$365.85
$65.85
- NO
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2026?
211 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$210.68
$10.68
- YES
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
941 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.17
$-94.82
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
357 shares @ 14.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.11
$-45.89
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
217 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$300.00Nov 19, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$100.00Nov 19, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$50.00Nov 19, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$100.00Nov 19, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$500.00Nov 12, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAltcoin market cap dip to $160B by December 31?$500.00Nov 12, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2026?$200.00Nov 12, 04:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $250.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 04:12 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 19, 02:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".