Stark-Ruffle
0x4bc53016e349e609d40ac454e76bbb3a03c263d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$9.72
Total PnL
$-163.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$9.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on April 23?
1900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 23?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on April 27?
334 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 23?
273 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on April 27?
238 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on April 28?
238 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C or higher on April 23?
200 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 24?
188 shares @ 43.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-82.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 92°F or higher on April 23?
141 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$10.25Jun 14, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland?$1.85Jun 13, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Qatar 2 - 1 Switzerland?$2.69Jun 13, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$41.22Jun 13, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$7.50Jun 12, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$1.90Jun 12, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on April 28?$9.99Jun 12, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on April 28?$10.00Jun 12, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on April 28?$10.00Jun 12, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 60°F or higher on April 27?$10.00Apr 28, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 27?$19.98Apr 28, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on April 28?$10.00Apr 28, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on April 27?$11.00Apr 28, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on April 27?$11.00Apr 28, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on April 28?$9.70Apr 28, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on April 27?$9.99Apr 27, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C or higher on April 27?$10.00Apr 27, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on April 28?$9.90Apr 27, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on April 28?$0.23Apr 27, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on April 28?$0.54Apr 27, 19:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 23:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 04:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.