Grim-Deer
0x4bc54aac5d8820d60704ed9782eff5e222ac8801
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$10.43
Total PnL
$-78.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.94
$1.94
- YES
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.62
$-2.38
- NO
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 5.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.34
$0.34
- NO
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.35
$-0.65
- YES
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.27
$-0.73
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on November 29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.11Feb 15, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMTrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?$1.82Feb 15, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$1.04Jan 24, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-24?$1.00Jan 24, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$1.00Jan 22, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$1.00Jan 22, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?$16.39Jan 18, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-01-18?$20.00Jan 18, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?$5.00Jan 10, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $160 in January?$1.00Jan 10, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$5.00Jan 10, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?$10.00Jan 10, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?$2.00Jan 6, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fomo launch a token by December 31 2025?$1.02Jan 2, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2025?$1.02Jan 2, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill stablecoins hit $400B by December 31?$1.03Jan 2, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin ETFs attract more flows in 2025 than in 2024?$1.04Jan 2, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Theo launch a token by December 31 2025?$1.05Jan 2, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.23Jan 2, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$2.33Jan 2, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $2.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 12:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.