Naive-Mob
0x4bc5e5f7f3676d473599e16b372336d51a903c27
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will US add more than 300k jobs in December 2024?
1300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times Jan 17-24?
1290 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.29
- NO
Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Global heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Joe Burrow be the top Fantasy Quarterback?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?
260 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.26
- YES
Will Game 14 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?
220 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2024$0.00
$-0.22
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 1.75-2.0%?
220 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.22
- YES
Will RFK Jr. win 4-5% of the popular vote?
220 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.22
- YES
Will Virginia be the tipping point state?
210 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 525-549 times Jan 17-24?$1.29Jan 23, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US add more than 300k jobs in December 2024?$1.30Jan 10, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024?$1.00Jan 6, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?$1.00Jan 3, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Burrow be the top Fantasy Quarterback?$1.00Dec 30, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Virginia be the tipping point state?$0.21Dec 14, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Game 14 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?$0.22Dec 12, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 2-3%?$0.26Dec 11, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 1.75-2.0%?$0.22Dec 11, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. win 4-5% of the popular vote?$0.22Dec 11, 18:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $0.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 18:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 14:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".