Some-Tussle
0x4bcda4b8dedfe7d894ac87ce465a8738dff17a40
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$7.06
Total PnL
$-5.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.44
$0.00
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
2 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.19
$0.03
- NO
Will Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.28
$-0.00
- NO
Will Rayan Cherki win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.15
$-0.01
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
200 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rayan Cherki win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.16Jun 14, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.44Jun 14, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.28Jun 14, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.12Jun 14, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.33Jun 14, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.11May 20, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$2.16May 20, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.19May 20, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 10?$1.16May 20, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?$2.25May 20, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.62May 20, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 10?$1.16Apr 9, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?$2.10Apr 9, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.20Apr 9, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$1.11Apr 9, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.35Apr 9, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$4.12Apr 9, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$1.10Mar 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.10Mar 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$4.10Mar 14, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $575.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 13:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 01:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.