Exhausted-Bonfire-Radio
0x4bcdb4a9bd2953740589c7ba8e13695e2efa92e3
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$42.67
Total PnL
$-5.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
WIll Lamine Yamal play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 93.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$9.13
$-0.15
- NO
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 94.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.78
$-0.60
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 5, 2026?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- NO
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 4, 2026?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 6, 2026?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?$0.006h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 6, 2026?$5.016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 5, 2026?$5.026h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 4, 2026?$5.026h ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?$5.006h ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?$5.436h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$5.003d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?$5.433d ago
- TRADEBUYWIll Lamine Yamal play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.305d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.405d ago
- TRADEBUYLee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?$5.005d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?$5.295d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?$5.006d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?$5.006d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?$5.006d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?$5.006d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 23?$5.076d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$10.138d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$10.008d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 23?$5.008d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $5.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 9d ago
- Last active
- 6h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".