Polite-Scene
0x4bced464b5bc64a632e2a4e72c336d0202de42f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$225.94
Total PnL
$-2.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will XRP reach $1.60 June 8-14?
145 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$145.33
$0.33
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?
37 shares @ 94.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.58
$-2.42
- NO
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$25.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C or higher on June 12?
23 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$23.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C or higher on June 12?$23.00Jun 10, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.60 June 8-14?$145.03Jun 10, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 5?$166.33Jun 10, 08:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 5?$166.02Jun 2, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.00Jun 2, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?$35.08Jun 2, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$22.92Jun 2, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on May 24?$23.02Jun 2, 06:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $45.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 06:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.