Identical-Chip
0x4bcf9c8363b465dbf7734aae6d0fa8483bcdb097
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$1.68
Total PnL
$-126.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.39
$-0.61
- YES
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?
33 shares @ 8.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.34
$-2.26
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
2873 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown end before February 16, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 January 26-1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 January 26-1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 January 26-1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 January 26-1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?$0.00Feb 22, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?$6.67Feb 22, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "N-Word" in February?$2.00Feb 16, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end before February 16, 2026?$2.00Feb 16, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end between February 16-19, 2026?$2.00Feb 16, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end between February 20-23, 2026?$2.00Feb 16, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?$3.00Feb 16, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Player 191 win Beast Games: Season 2?$3.00Feb 15, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 15?$2.00Feb 15, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$2.00Feb 15, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$2.00Feb 15, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?$2.00Feb 14, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no listed leader be out before 2027?$2.00Feb 13, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?$12.00Feb 13, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$3.00Feb 5, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$2.00Feb 5, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$5.00Feb 5, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?$2.00Feb 5, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$2.00Feb 4, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.00Feb 4, 09:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 20:46 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 23:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".