Juvenile-Hour
0x4bd3403f05f9a1e4219466c0bb8f6d848e007f46
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 76°F or higher on April 12?
1010 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 53°F or higher on March 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Maria Damanaki be next Greek President?
876 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 4.0% or more?
470 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.88
- YES
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Wei Dai as Satoshi?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- VIEIRA
Harrison vs. Vieira
2 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.30
- ROUNTREE JR.
Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.
2 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$100.74Apr 18, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$101.04Apr 18, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 76°F or higher on April 12?$1.01Apr 12, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 53°F or higher on March 17?$1.00Mar 22, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maria Damanaki be next Greek President?$1.00Feb 5, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$1.00Jan 17, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$1.00Jan 17, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 4.0% or more? $1.88Nov 13, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214$0.01Nov 7, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarrison vs. Vieira$0.30Oct 5, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYPereira vs. Rountree Jr.$0.50Oct 5, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Wei Dai as Satoshi?$1.00Oct 5, 12:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $17.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 12:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 15:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".