Tough-Ancestor
0x4bd35a6fa187fb78eafe8e6d5b025f4197d38ce0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
10050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.05
- PELICANS
Pelicans vs. Lakers
10002 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?
9996 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.9K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 12?
9880 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-9.88
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on February 2?
7907 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-7.91
- ATHLETICS
Diamondbacks vs. Athletics
5511 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.7K
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $240 on November 5?
4230 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-4.23
- YES
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?
30 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Arsenal wins the Premier League?
28 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.92
- YES
Manchester City wins the Premier League?
10 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.41
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.21May 20, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.11May 20, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.11May 19, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.05Mar 7, 06:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 7, 00:47 UTC
- MERGEWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.0KFeb 6, 00:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Feb 6, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Feb 5, 00:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Feb 4, 00:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Feb 3, 00:42 UTC
- SPLITWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.0KFeb 2, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on February 2?$7.91Feb 2, 13:18 UTC
- MERGEWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$11.0KFeb 2, 06:35 UTC
- SPLITWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$11.0KFeb 2, 02:59 UTC
- REWARD$1.81Dec 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$497.44Dec 17, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.00Dec 17, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$26.81Dec 17, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$2.43Dec 17, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$12.55Dec 17, 04:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $259.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 08:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.