Muted-Proponent
0x4bd59539d503546a48444ac5f3610a180c37cb75
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-125.94
Realised
$5.46
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- $80K
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 10?
1000 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on February 4?
1000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on March 24?
589 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.48
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on February 4?
500 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on February 8?
500 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 11?
400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- NO
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?
300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will Solana reach $160 in February?
250 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.75
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in March?$0.60Mar 24, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on March 24?$0.61Mar 22, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20?$0.09Mar 19, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20?$0.17Mar 19, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on March 24?$6.90Mar 18, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on March 24?$0.01Mar 18, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on March 24?$0.01Mar 18, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on March 24?$0.11Mar 18, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on March 24?$0.11Mar 18, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$7.00Mar 18, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$2.26Mar 17, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$0.05Mar 17, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$0.02Mar 17, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$0.02Mar 17, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$5.65Mar 17, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 17?$5.60Mar 17, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 17?$2.80Mar 16, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 17?$6.00Mar 16, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.25Mar 13, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?$3.12Mar 12, 17:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 15:38 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 10:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".