Acrobatic-Alarm
0x4be14eba26b4831b28aa793e9daf26c954e3d82e
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$11.58
Total PnL
$-22.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?
12 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$11.58
$0.58
- YES
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be elected the next president of South Korea?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the candidate from the Rebuilding Korea Party win the South Korean Presidential Election?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Adrian Zandberg be the next President of Poland?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will another party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in April?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$10.00Apr 22, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?$11.00Apr 22, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President in 2025?$3.09Apr 22, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President in 2025?$3.00Nov 14, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 6-9?$20.41Nov 14, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win on 2025-10-18?$3.66Nov 14, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-10-18?$3.00Oct 18, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$2.01Oct 18, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 6-9?$20.00Oct 7, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$0.67Oct 7, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$2.00Sep 18, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$1.00Sep 9, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?$0.00Sep 9, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?$1.33Jul 31, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession in 2025?$0.73Jul 31, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$2.53Jul 31, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$2.05Jul 2, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$2.00Jun 27, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$2.00Jun 26, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$2.00Jun 26, 19:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $28.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 23:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 07:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.