Splendid-Venison
0x4be9e5e0d10f42240923fe50770484b1cec1a647
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$15.00
Total PnL
$-1.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
10 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$10.00
$3.30
- YES
Grok 4.20 released by April 20?
5 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.00
$0.12
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
5 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
5 shares @ 43.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.05Feb 1, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$2.00Jan 30, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.00Jan 30, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during the announcement on Thursday?$6.85Jan 30, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during the announcement on Thursday?$5.00Jan 29, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.70Jan 29, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?$4.50Jan 27, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?$4.50Jan 21, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?$4.15Jan 21, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$1.60Jan 21, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4.20 released by April 20?$4.88Jan 21, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?$5.30Jan 20, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?$3.70Jan 20, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 20, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 20, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$0.00Jan 16, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.03Jan 12, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.14Jan 12, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$2.07Jan 12, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$0.40Nov 27, 22:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $2.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 20:54 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 21:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.