Ornery-Start
0x4be9fb98679350c7b98b11d5121033da818dfca8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-255.34
Realised
$-0.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on May 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or higher on April 29?
305 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 3?
225 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 4?
164 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
161 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
117 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on April 29?
66 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
62 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.93
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$0.00May 15, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$6.14May 15, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$0.00May 15, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.41May 15, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$4.07May 15, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$4.23May 15, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$3.06May 15, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$3.33May 15, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.05May 15, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$0.00May 15, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$12.47May 15, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 16?$1.78May 15, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 16?$1.75May 15, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 15?$1.84May 15, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 15?$1.99May 15, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on May 15?$2.02May 15, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 16?$2.17May 15, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 16?$2.23May 15, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$5.25May 15, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.00May 15, 08:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 21:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 09:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.