0x4beafff58639dfed843d3ddc713cddf7743c0ad4
0x4beafff58639dfed843d3ddc713cddf7743c0ad4
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
79
Open notional
$22.22
Total PnL
$-66.51
Realised
$6.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 23?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$5.00
$4.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 23?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$4.55
$3.55
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 24?
6 shares @ 69.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$4.38
$0.38
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 23?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$3.03
$1.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.47
$1.47
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 24?
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$2.07
$0.07
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 24?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.73
$-0.27
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 1?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Belgium vs. Senegal: Neither team to score first?
1010 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 24?$2.06Jul 23, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 24?$2.06Jul 23, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 24?$1.06Jul 23, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 24?$2.06Jul 23, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 23?$1.06Jul 23, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 23?$1.06Jul 23, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 23?$2.07Jul 23, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 23?$3.07Jul 23, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 23?$1.06Jul 23, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 23?$1.07Jul 23, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on July 22?$3.57Jul 23, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 22?$3.64Jul 22, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on July 22?$2.08Jul 22, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Anyang win on 2026-07-22?$2.82Jul 22, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Anyang win on 2026-07-22?$2.05Jul 22, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?$1.05Jul 22, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-07-22?$1.05Jul 22, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWinnipeg: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend$2.77Jul 21, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 22?$1.08Jul 21, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 22?$1.08Jul 21, 18:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 15:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 22:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.