Carefree-Uncle
0x4bf129e3ea64203f5d3cd45d4167ef25d4033982
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$112.94
Total PnL
$-97.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
113 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$112.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- GIANTS
Cardinals vs. Giants
26 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-14.83
- HAWKS
Hawks vs. Rockets
17 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-6.22
- BLACKHAWKS
Canadiens vs. Blackhawks
15 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-6.71
- KRAKEN
Kraken vs. Canadiens
14 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-5.93
- WHITE SOX
White Sox vs. Yankees
14 shares @ 69.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-9.52
- LIGHTNING
Lightning vs. Capitals
13 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-6.69
- CUBS
Cubs vs. Brewers
13 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-6.14
- PADRES
Padres vs. Cubs
13 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-6.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$113.00May 29, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$117.86May 9, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$118.01Apr 30, 23:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$118.87Apr 6, 21:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 5, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 3, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$119.00Apr 1, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$117.88Apr 1, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$118.00Mar 20, 08:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 18, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$128.86Mar 17, 09:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 17, 01:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 16, 00:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 15, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$129.00Mar 14, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.9KJan 14, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.9KJan 13, 22:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 2, 13:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 21:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.