Scarce-Sorrow
0x4bf1f86a006288c3492b65bd8544be82145b8605
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$295.69
Total PnL
$150.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
226 shares @ 44.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$226.24
$126.24
- YES
Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?
69 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$69.44
$44.44
- YES
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris say "Couch" during Friday speech?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?$10.00Aug 16, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?$25.00Aug 16, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.00Aug 16, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Couch" during Friday speech?$10.00Aug 16, 12:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $36.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 12:57 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 21:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.