Raw-Maelstrom
0x4bf7673173f1a913982b7f7aeeafd14885c6ebea
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$409.83
Total PnL
$-12.86
Realised
$1.84
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 27?
30 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$30.40
$7.60
- NO
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
31 shares @ 95.3¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.41
$-0.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?
26 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$25.50
$4.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 30?
23 shares @ 91.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 30, 2026$23.03
$1.85
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 25?
22 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$21.61
$0.86
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?
21 shares @ 65.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$20.95
$7.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26?
20 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$20.15
$6.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 24?
19 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$19.11
$4.78
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 29?
19 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$19.01
$0.81
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?
19 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$18.60
$3.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 30?$21.27May 30, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?$13.94May 29, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 29?$2.96May 29, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 29?$3.06May 29, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 29?$15.39May 29, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 29?$18.24May 29, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 29?$7.72May 29, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 28?$7.45May 28, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 28?$4.68May 28, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?$11.76May 28, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?$11.38May 28, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?$7.84May 28, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 28?$7.79May 28, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 28?$12.26May 28, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 28?$7.45May 28, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 28?$6.00May 28, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 28?$8.13May 27, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 27?$12.49May 27, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 27?$13.35May 27, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 26?$6.07May 26, 16:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $10.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 18:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 03:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".