Open-Carrot
0x4bfbfc5ddca26dcd9eaef5fde858809bfc2c434f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 2.0-2.25%?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Kamala Harris get 82-84m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Trump tweet 20 or more times Dec 6-13?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Michel Barnier be the next French Prime Minister?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Kamala Harris get 70-72m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Xavier Bertrand be the next French Prime Minister?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Guido Manini Ríos win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?
10 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?
10 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?
10 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Biden resign in 2024?$0.02Dec 20, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michel Barnier be the next French Prime Minister?$0.02Dec 13, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Bertrand be the next French Prime Minister?$0.02Dec 13, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris get 82-84m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$0.02Dec 13, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris get 70-72m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$0.02Dec 13, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Worthy win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.02Dec 13, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another player win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.02Dec 13, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 2.0-2.25%?$0.02Dec 13, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump get less than 66m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$0.02Dec 13, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?$0.02Dec 13, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet 20 or more times Dec 6-13?$0.02Dec 13, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$0.02Dec 4, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRecord turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$0.02Dec 4, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?$0.02Dec 4, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill weed be rescheduled in 2024?$0.02Dec 4, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Berachain launch in 2024?$0.02Dec 4, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Media acquire a crypto exchange in 2024?$0.02Dec 4, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?$0.02Dec 4, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?$0.02Dec 4, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?$0.02Dec 4, 09:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $11.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 07:42 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 20, 13:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".