Long-Term-Moonscape
0x4bfc7c0167f0e4b6b08d7cb3efba345d034005b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be 130,000,000-135,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Republicans control 225 seats in the House after the election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Nevada by 3.0%-4.0%?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will New Hampshire be the closest state?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will TREMP reach $1b first?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Tether Insolvent in 2024?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ethena crash in 2024?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be 130,000,000-135,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$1.00Nov 17, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Nevada by 3.0%-4.0%? $1.00Nov 17, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans control 225 seats in the House after the election?$1.00Nov 17, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Hampshire be the closest state?$1.00Nov 17, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?$1.00Nov 17, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill a candidate from another party win Arizona Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 17, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump launch a coin before the election?$10.00Nov 17, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthena crash in 2024?$1.00Jul 27, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTether Insolvent in 2024?$1.00Jul 27, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TREMP reach $1b first?$1.00Jul 27, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump launch a coin before the election?$1.00Jul 27, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Arizona Presidential Election?$1.00Jul 27, 13:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 13:13 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 17, 06:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".