Regal-Toothpick
0x4c03946abcd3010dba07f01ad447db6f03d48e3b
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.5K
Realised
$-715.34
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Chrystia Freeland be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
115547 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-446.36
- YES
Will Justin Trudeau be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
95273 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-249.04
- NO
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
33988 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-620.25
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
14401 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
11448 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- NO
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
11111 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-66.67
- YES
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?
5694 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-111.00
- YES
Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?
5000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
3167 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-207.49
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
3145 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-871.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?$14.00Sep 1, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$20.00Sep 1, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?$7.90Sep 1, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?$14.60Sep 1, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$22.50Sep 1, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?$8.74Sep 1, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?$6.55Sep 1, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?$1.03Sep 1, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?$3.67Sep 1, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?$8.05Sep 1, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$20.00Sep 1, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?$11.60Sep 1, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?$17.91Sep 1, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?$0.61Sep 1, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?$0.61Sep 1, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?$0.61Sep 1, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?$0.61Sep 1, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$40.00Sep 1, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?$9.58Aug 31, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?$1.00Aug 31, 04:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 29, 16:37 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 1, 19:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".