0x4c04497b0b82e8d26f262c5b5596889d40623d8b
0x4c04497b0b82e8d26f262c5b5596889d40623d8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 22?
1425 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 7?
1072 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-7.65
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 29?
801 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 7?
564 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 28?
510 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.42
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 7?
509 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 28?
492 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
365 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 29?
362 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-8.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 20?
352 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.35
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$4.56Jun 11, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$3.88Jun 11, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.98Jun 11, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.62Jun 11, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$2.44Jun 11, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$4.07Jun 11, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.43Jun 11, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$3.63Jun 11, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.04Jun 11, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.49Jun 11, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$0.00Jun 11, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$4.12Jun 11, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$3.73Jun 11, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$1.20Jun 11, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$1.28Jun 11, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$3.05Jun 11, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$4.02Jun 11, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.95Jun 11, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$3.68Jun 11, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$3.99Jun 11, 18:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 16:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 21:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.