Simple-Guarantee
0x4c08b5807855ab36f6d77a2fcf91962b82b91979
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
74
Open notional
$4.53
Total PnL
$-6.1K
Realised
$0.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Tea FDV above $40M one day after launch
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?
1 shares @ 83.9¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.74
$-0.37
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.40 May 25-31?
4 shares @ 31.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.48
$-0.62
- YES
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?
14 shares @ 7.1¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.37
$-0.63
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?
4 shares @ 30.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.33
$-0.78
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 28?
2 shares @ 68.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
1400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-700.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?$1.16May 28, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs$1.22May 28, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Alina Korneeva$1.02May 28, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTea FDV above $40M one day after launch$1.01May 28, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?$1.07May 28, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 28?$1.12May 28, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$1.07May 28, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?$1.11May 28, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.01May 28, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLRoland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame$0.84May 28, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?$1.21May 28, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLKBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. NC Dinos$1.72May 28, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLITF Kayseri: Alana Subasic vs Duru Soke$3.15May 28, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wu$1.28May 28, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMITF Tauste-Zaragoza: Eva Vedder vs Kayla Day$1.51May 28, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Emma Navarro$2.02May 28, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?$1.10May 28, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Arch vs Basement Bobs (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage$0.00May 28, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMMobile Legends Bang Bang: Magic vs Cyber Hero (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 1st Division$0.00May 28, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage$0.00May 28, 07:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 17:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 13:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".