Puzzled-Model
0x4c09b15b777ba48b68f29d1e93911efe7d1762f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$297.54
Total PnL
$-418.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10038 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$175.67
$-38.30
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$121.88
$-3.13
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?
465 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
129 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
126 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
108 shares @ 46.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2PM ET
91 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
75 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$13.19Jun 4, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$20.81Jun 4, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$5.33Jun 4, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$20.97Jun 4, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$32.22Jun 4, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$57.07Jun 4, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$26.03Jun 4, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$20.76Jun 4, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$31.12Jun 4, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$55.56Jun 4, 08:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $18.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 16:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.