Wallet digest

active

Activity score

70/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$20.62

Total PnL

$-126.15

Realised

$14.41

Win rate

67%

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 24

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
21 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026
$20.62
$0.62
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
162 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025
$0.00
$-11.40
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
43 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-20.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
32 shares @ 55.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025
$0.00
$-18.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
30 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-13.50
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
29 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025
$0.00
$-13.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$10.00Jan 1, 02:56 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$20.00Jan 1, 02:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$13.50Dec 31, 03:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Dec 31, 03:24 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.00Dec 30, 23:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$20.00Dec 30, 23:43 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$5.00Dec 30, 23:29 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$15.16Dec 30, 23:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$20.00Dec 30, 23:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$10.00Dec 30, 23:22 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$12.86Dec 30, 23:22 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$10.00Dec 30, 23:20 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$20.00Dec 30, 04:17 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$8.16Dec 30, 01:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$9.00Dec 30, 01:17 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$11.39Dec 30, 01:14 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$5.00Dec 30, 01:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$10.00Dec 30, 01:03 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$0.00Dec 29, 03:54 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$10.00Dec 29, 03:54 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry54 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk73 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 45
Avg trade size: $10.22
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 24, 15:52 UTC
Last active: Jan 1, 02:56 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 19:05:22 UTC·src:Polymarket Data