Graceful-Storage
0x4c0c63a9f0a0311618c6243cec4482318b474aac
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$114.98
Total PnL
$-136.12
Realised
$-11.08
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?
78 shares @ 55.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$36.84
$-5.83
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win 13 upper-level local government races?
64 shares @ 29.7¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$22.23
$3.35
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races?
64 shares @ 19.2¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$11.27
$-1.12
- YES
Will the People Power Party win 2 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?
33 shares @ 33.2¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$10.23
$-0.73
- NO
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?
22 shares @ 38.5¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.47
$-0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
110 shares @ 10.8¢·now 4.9¢·exp May 18, 2026$5.40
$-6.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
42 shares @ 18.4¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.19
$-2.44
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
110 shares @ 6.1¢·now 4.7¢·exp May 18, 2026$5.18
$-1.58
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 15.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.85
$0.55
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?
54 shares @ 3.7¢·now 3.2¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.73
$-0.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?$10.98May 18, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$1.44May 18, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYJang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?$4.51May 18, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$1.99May 18, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People Power Party win 2 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?$3.84May 18, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win 13 upper-level local government races?$6.29May 18, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races?$4.54May 18, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$33.58May 18, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$3.00May 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$2.99May 18, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$0.00May 18, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$0.00May 18, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.04May 18, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$2.08May 18, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$5.21May 18, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.04May 18, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$2.08May 18, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2AM ET$1.05May 18, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2AM ET$2.10May 18, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$2.10May 18, 06:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 05:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".