Harmonious-Bargain
0x4c142e2e5f38a2671c9745d0b7e55e56e0f610a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
2220 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-299.55
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
1087 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-62.95
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-84.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
949 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-180.31
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
923 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
700 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-308.00
- YES
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
600 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-57.55
- YES
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
600 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-29.60
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of February?
373 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-19.76
- YES
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
200 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-58.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$6.10Apr 28, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$0.17Apr 28, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$0.17Apr 28, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$0.59Apr 28, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$1.49Apr 28, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$5.63Apr 28, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in February?$15.10Mar 6, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in February?$0.43Mar 5, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?$5.80Feb 27, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?$26.00Feb 25, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$285.30Feb 13, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$20.00Feb 12, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of February?$10.00Feb 9, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of February?$8.53Feb 6, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?$9.41Feb 3, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?$1.36Feb 3, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?$1.23Feb 3, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of February?$1.22Jan 30, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$139.50Jan 30, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$124.50Jan 30, 00:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $32.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 23:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 22:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".