Radiant-Lemur
0x4c1560550c8f84311e5d9eb98592310334d658ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$13.39
Total PnL
$-17.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
71 shares @ 16.9¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.73
$-5.27
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$6.67
$1.67
- YES
Will Trump say "Peace" 20+ times during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026?
103 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
10 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$9.33May 2, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$5.17May 2, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$5.09Apr 28, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$10.32Apr 28, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.00Feb 17, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$1.00Feb 17, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.25Feb 11, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.00Feb 11, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$10.39Feb 11, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$19.00Feb 11, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$4.00Jan 23, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peace" 20+ times during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?$1.00Jan 22, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 22, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026?$10.00Jan 22, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?$2.00Jan 22, 03:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $5.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 03:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 04:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.