Open-System
0x4c162a3e26ce18fe795880936c1e66628df2cf87
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
75
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-382.47
Realised
$7.98
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1875 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
930 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 12?
695 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 8AM ET
620 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
490 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10AM ET
484 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 14?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - November 13, 8AM ET
340 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$7.00Dec 9, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Dec 9, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Dec 9, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Dec 9, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Dec 9, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$5.00Dec 9, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.55Dec 9, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Dec 9, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$4.16Dec 9, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$3.00Dec 9, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$1.00Dec 9, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 9, 11AM ET$1.00Dec 9, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$4.21Dec 9, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$4.00Dec 9, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.00Dec 9, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$3.00Dec 8, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$2.00Dec 8, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$2.50Dec 8, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$3.00Dec 8, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$15.00Dec 8, 16:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 18:33 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 9, 17:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".