Luminous-Traditionalism
0x4c1e6be37ae675931a1dbdc154a83aff55e9a29e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
135
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-38.62
Win rate
0%
135 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 135- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
1007 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?
418 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?
250 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?
239 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- JARED GORDON
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UNDER
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5
191 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-149.04
- GOLDEN STATE VALKYRIES
Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyries
164 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- YES
Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?
163 shares @ 61.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- JESPER DE JONG
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev
127 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$0.38Jul 19, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$104.89Jul 19, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$100.30Jul 19, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5$3.09Jul 19, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$15.43Jul 19, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?$30.08Jul 14, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$224.86Jul 12, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$99.45Jul 11, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?$1.02Jul 7, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverev$1.07Jul 7, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverev$1.00Jul 7, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 7?$0.05Jul 7, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 7?$3.08Jul 7, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 7?$2.31Jul 7, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 7?$3.08Jul 7, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLSeattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks$4.28Jul 7, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks$3.03Jul 7, 02:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?$2.08Jul 6, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?$1.02Jul 6, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 7?$2.05Jul 6, 19:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 135 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
135 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $9.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 05:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 22:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 135 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.