Charming-Vulture
0x4c21ae0d171abf420284b07581b8f47b4581fd5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$112.33
Total PnL
$1.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 21 at 5PM ET?$111.21Jul 21, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on July 1 at 5PM ET?$111.21Jul 21, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on July 1 at 5PM ET?$110.10Jul 1, 19:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$0.00Jul 1, 19:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$0.00Jul 1, 19:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $107K on June 26 at 5PM ET?$110.09Jul 1, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $107K on June 26 at 5PM ET?$109.65Jun 26, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 25 at 5PM ET?$109.65Jun 26, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 25 at 5PM ET?$105.87Jun 25, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103K on June 24 at 5PM ET?$105.88Jun 25, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103K on June 24 at 5PM ET?$105.77Jun 24, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$2.00Jun 23, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $104K on June 20 at 5PM ET?$25.26Jun 22, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS military action against Iran before July?$82.51Jun 22, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $104K on June 20 at 5PM ET?$25.05Jun 20, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on June 18 at 5 PM ET?$25.04Jun 20, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on June 18 at 5 PM ET?$24.33Jun 18, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before July?$50.00Jun 18, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $105K on June 3 at 5 PM ET?$74.33Jun 6, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $105K on June 3 at 5 PM ET?$74.03Jun 3, 19:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $38.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 21:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.