Unrealistic-Decision
0x4c275b8e387d0b91417575c9e264a7ce3bf2aaec
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$29.61
Total PnL
$-7.7K
Realised
$68.84
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1316 shares @ 38.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.61
$-470.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
3889 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-119.71
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
3267 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-279.33
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
2555 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-42.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
2549 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-733.13
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
2441 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-99.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
1608 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-997.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
1481 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-210.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
1344 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-605.63
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$13.87Mar 9, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$10.00Mar 9, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$10.00Mar 9, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$20.00Mar 9, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$2.22Mar 9, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$10.00Mar 9, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$2.00Mar 9, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$10.00Mar 9, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$10.00Mar 9, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$154.32Mar 9, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$139.72Mar 9, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$10.00Mar 9, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$2.48Mar 9, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$6.00Mar 9, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$6.05Mar 9, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$2.40Mar 9, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$6.00Mar 9, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.00Mar 9, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$7.00Mar 9, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$2.40Mar 9, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $49.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 03:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 13:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".