0x4c2966a198cd7ac982110d0219b037afa9997570
0x4c2966a198cd7ac982110d0219b037afa9997570
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-201.46
Realised
$-311.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $160B by December 31?
982 shares @ 87.1¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$923.29
$67.36
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
3193 shares @ 14.4¢·now 15.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$501.34
$41.60
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
100 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$100.00
$1.20
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?
5 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.12
$0.11
- YES
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.10
$0.03
- YES
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.10
$0.02
- YES
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.10
$0.02
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$1.05
$0.02
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.01
$-0.03
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.01Jun 14, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1.04Jun 14, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$1.01Jun 14, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 14, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 14, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026? $1.08Jun 13, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?$1.08Jun 13, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?$1.07Jun 13, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$1.01Jun 13, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$1.03Jun 13, 17:34 UTC
- REWARD$0.19Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$2.86Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$31.80Jun 12, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$139.59Jun 12, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$146.98Jun 12, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$201.60Jun 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.19Jun 12, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.17Jun 12, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$317.90Jun 12, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.28Jun 12, 13:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $87.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.