Scared-Fencing
0x4c2a306f6ede61c38819d7c2b6d5bc4ec2f25a26
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$10.79
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$-856.24
Win rate
10%
114 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?
13956 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$6.98
$-62.10
- YES
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
480 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.24
$-4.76
- YES
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
480 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.24
$-4.76
- YES
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
480 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.24
$-4.76
- YES
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
480 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.24
$-4.76
- YES
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
480 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.24
$-4.76
- YES
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
480 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.24
$-4.76
- YES
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
480 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.24
$-4.76
- YES
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
480 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.24
$-4.76
- YES
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
480 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.24
$-4.76
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$5.99Jun 1, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?$0.01Jun 1, 04:19 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?$6.00Jun 1, 02:11 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$6.00Jun 1, 02:11 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$16.84Jun 1, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$47.95May 31, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.14May 31, 22:25 UTC
- CONVERSION Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?$48.00May 31, 21:54 UTC
- SPLITWill Vicky Dávila win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$48.00May 31, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yann Sommer record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.02May 31, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dominik Livaković record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.04May 31, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?$74.31May 31, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?$4.14May 31, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Raya record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.03May 31, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Emiliano Martínez record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.10May 31, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Maignan record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.12May 31, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amer Sharaf record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.02May 31, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ronwen Williams record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.39May 31, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Pickford record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.10May 31, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bart Verbruggen record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.02May 31, 14:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 14:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 04:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 114 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".