Bulky-Tradition
0x4c38f67c8c1f3941b5322655fce88ac3383ef017
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
900 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-450.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
507 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-253.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
506 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-253.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
505 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-252.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
505 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-252.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
505 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-252.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
505 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-252.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
503 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-251.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMFed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9?$1.02Dec 15, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brian Armstrong say "Stablecoin" 2+ times at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?$0.72Dec 15, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Armstrong say "Stablecoin" 2+ times at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?$1.00Dec 10, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9?$1.00Dec 4, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?$1.00Dec 4, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?$1.01Dec 4, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on November 29?$1.01Dec 4, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 45-46°F on November 29?$1.01Dec 4, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by November 30?$2.03Dec 4, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMGenoa CFC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5$5.00Dec 4, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMLightning vs. Rangers$5.00Dec 4, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMBarcelona vs. Alaves: O/U 3.5$5.00Dec 4, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: G2 Esports vs No Need Orga (BO1)$5.00Dec 4, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Tidebound (BO1)$5.00Dec 4, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMCF América vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 1.5$5.00Dec 4, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMBayern München vs. FC St. Pauli: O/U 3.5$5.00Dec 4, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMBall State vs. Miami (OH): O/U 41.5$5.00Dec 4, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5$7.00Dec 4, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$970.00Nov 29, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by November 30?$1.00Nov 29, 09:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $64.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 29, 08:08 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 03:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.