Enormous-Charger
0x4c3f932c7263c26fcb178576899f68fd2cca5f53
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$69.23
Realised
$536.41
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
3027 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-91.97
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
2047 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-56.88
- YES
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
1522 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.74
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?
1312 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-86.80
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
1300 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-90.80
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
333 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 21 2025?$100.70Dec 24, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$5.70Dec 21, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$6.64Dec 5, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$0.87Dec 5, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$51.13Dec 5, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$49.12Dec 5, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$13.77Dec 2, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$7.17Nov 30, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$0.85Nov 29, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$5.80Nov 29, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$5.00Nov 29, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$0.13Nov 29, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$5.00Nov 29, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$20.00Nov 29, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$25.00Nov 29, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$36.71Nov 29, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$4.00Nov 29, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$2.70Nov 29, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$4.07Nov 29, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.58Nov 29, 06:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $19.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 20:37 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 24, 02:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.