Modern-Difference
0x4c3fc12a38b8a21b7fed145b8f6cb50c4c4c59a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$3.84
Total PnL
$-13.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 91.7¢·now 74.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.82
$-0.18
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.01Jan 26, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.00Jan 26, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 21, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 15, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.01Jan 15, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.00Jan 7, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.03Jan 7, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.06Jan 7, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.06Jan 7, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.10Jan 7, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$2.11Jan 7, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.13Jan 7, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.00Dec 12, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$1.00Dec 11, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.05Dec 11, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.03Dec 10, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$1.00Dec 10, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.00Dec 9, 05:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $161.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 05:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 07:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".