Itchy-Spat
0x4c42165311e242f36093a1930a4013466ce066b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-25.6K
Realised
$-224.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?
14960 shares @ 98.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-14.8K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 63-64°F on October 30?
5728 shares @ 97.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.6K
- NO
Will Joe Biden say "Obama" during his appearance at the Ben Nelson Gala on November 7?
2675 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during Malaysia events on October 26?
1058 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-220.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?
787 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Uber say "Lyft" during earnings call?
636 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" during Malaysia events on October 26?
616 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-180.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 2+ times during Japan troop visit on October 28?
615 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-220.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" during Japan troop visit on October 28?
581 shares @ 37.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-220.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Japan troop visit on October 28?
562 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-220.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Uber say "Regulator / Regulation" during earnings call?$788.53Nov 10, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden say "Obama" during his appearance at the Ben Nelson Gala on November 7?$100.00Nov 8, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden say "Obama" during his appearance at the Ben Nelson Gala on November 7?$100.00Nov 8, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden say "Obama" during his appearance at the Ben Nelson Gala on November 7?$100.00Nov 8, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden say "Obama" during his appearance at the Ben Nelson Gala on November 7?$100.00Nov 8, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hims say "Collaboration" during earnings call?$45.00Nov 3, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uber say "Lyft" during earnings call?$200.00Nov 3, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uber say "Regulator / Regulation" during earnings call?$400.00Nov 3, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hims say "Collaboration" during earnings call?$120.00Nov 1, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reddit say "Algorithm" during earnings call?$87.05Nov 1, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hims say "Collaboration" during earnings call?$9.75Nov 1, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUp Only podcast released by November 30?$148.33Nov 1, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hims say "Collaboration" during earnings call?$100.00Nov 1, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 63-64°F on October 30?$5.51Oct 31, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 63-64°F on October 30?$1.6KOct 31, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 63-64°F on October 30?$200.00Oct 31, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?$2.1KOct 31, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Trump" during October press conference?$22.22Oct 31, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Edging" 3+ times during October press conference?$22.99Oct 31, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during October press conference?$23.59Oct 31, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $669.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 22:01 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 10, 00:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.