Outstanding-Airman
0x4c494a88600aa5a61af7e4972d0985799f55af7d
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
64
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.2K
Realised
$-0.41
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
1005 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-502.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
995 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-497.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
990 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-495.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
680 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-340.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
680 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-340.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
630 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-315.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
516 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-258.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
516 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-258.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Brian Armstrong say "Stablecoin" 2+ times at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?$0.71Dec 15, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on December 9?$1.00Dec 15, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Armstrong say "Stablecoin" 2+ times at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?$1.00Dec 10, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on December 9?$1.01Dec 10, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 44°F or below on December 9?$1.02Dec 10, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 59-60°F on December 9?$1.02Dec 10, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMFed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9?$1.02Dec 10, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on December 9?$1.02Dec 10, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$1.11Dec 10, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Dec 9, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$980.00Dec 9, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$495.00Dec 9, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$485.00Dec 9, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on December 9?$1.00Dec 9, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 44°F or below on December 9?$1.00Dec 9, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 59-60°F on December 9?$1.00Dec 9, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$1.00Dec 9, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on December 9?$1.00Dec 9, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on December 9?$1.00Dec 9, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$501.00Dec 9, 08:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $181.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 06:39 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 01:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.