Wallet digest

active

Activity score

41/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-23.0K

Realised

$-18.45

Win rate

29%

7 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 37

DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
3400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025
$0.00
$-1.7K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
3400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025
$0.00
$-1.7K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
3400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-1.7K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
3200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025
$0.00
$-1.6K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
3200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-1.6K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
3200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-1.6K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
3200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025
$0.00
$-1.6K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
3120 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025
$0.00
$-1.6K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025
$0.00
$-1.5K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
2996 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025
$0.00
$-1.5K

Recent activity

REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$3.0KDec 31, 10:50 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$163.20Dec 31, 05:02 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.5KDec 31, 04:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.2KDec 31, 04:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$323.70Dec 31, 04:45 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$2.9KDec 31, 04:43 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$6.30Dec 31, 04:18 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$34.30Dec 31, 04:14 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$90.00Dec 31, 04:12 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$0.61Dec 31, 04:06 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$2.00Dec 31, 04:06 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$26.47Dec 31, 04:05 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$1.00Dec 31, 04:05 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$1.00Dec 31, 04:05 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$32.35Dec 31, 04:04 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$25.49Dec 31, 04:03 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$23.52Dec 31, 04:02 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$19.61Dec 31, 04:02 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$6.86Dec 31, 04:01 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$2.20Dec 31, 04:00 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence23 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry97 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk61 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 43
Avg trade size: $453.46
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 30, 15:12 UTC
Last active: Dec 31, 10:50 UTC
Win rate sample: 7 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 15:43:04 UTC·src:Polymarket Data