Reflecting-Pantology
0x4c4ed674fde7dc998036b3ae92445d00fcdb297b
Quality score
100/100
Open positions
22
Open notional
$6.7K
Total PnL
$650.32
Realised
$32.76
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?
1384 shares @ 54.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$627.28
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
1558 shares @ 86.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.3K
$-46.60
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
699 shares @ 88.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$653.69
$36.72
- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
1000 shares @ 67.1¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$650.00
$-21.30
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1525 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
547 shares @ 84.8¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$502.93
$39.17
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
444 shares @ 85.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$410.48
$29.69
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
441 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$410.45
$4.41
- NO
Will Amy Klobuchar be the next Senate Majority Leader?
294 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$291.33
$2.00
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
300 shares @ 76.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$175.50
$-52.62
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
200 shares @ 75.2¢·now 86.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$173.00
$22.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$18.401h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$91.5513h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$35.8813h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$214.2021h ago
- REDEEMWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 24, 2026?$278.2821h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$46.0022h ago
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$191.3122h ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$83.3222h ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$385.2422h ago
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$39.592d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$25.112d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$400.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1480?$15.602d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$300.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$38.272d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$1.632d ago
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$25.322d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1500?$18.402d ago
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 24, 2026?$246.022d ago
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?$812.602d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $139.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 10d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.