Untimely-Neighbour
0x4c5781fa4a2851125af453e8587d15ea94355cb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$3.00
Total PnL
$-53.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 21?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 4.4¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 21?
142 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.30
$-0.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.06
$-0.94
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?
406 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.06
- NO
Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?
38 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2025$0.00
$-23.74
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
22 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$9.37May 20, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$5.27May 20, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.05May 20, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?$1.07May 20, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 21?$1.05May 20, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 21?$1.05May 20, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$1.07May 19, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?$4.34May 17, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$3.81May 17, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.06May 17, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$4.20May 14, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.00May 13, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$5.30May 13, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$0.00May 13, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$5.33May 13, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?$5.35May 10, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$0.00May 10, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$5.32May 10, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$5.38May 10, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$5.02May 10, 05:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $19.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 11:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 09:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".