Hopeful-Crunch
0x4c58341c65914daa99bf6bfc61837617d0003036
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
188
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$735.57
Win rate
65%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 188- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
36605 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-68.96
- NO
Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13?
1484 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-58.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 7AM ET
1123 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-92.47
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9?
1000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 6PM ET
777 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-60.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
700 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-51.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
688 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-13.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 17?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 11AM ET
500 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-89.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12PM ET$20.00Jan 29, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12PM ET$20.13Jan 29, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12PM ET$16.88Jan 29, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$16.88Jan 29, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$21.42Jan 29, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$10.91Jan 26, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$10.90Jan 26, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$9.60Jan 26, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 7PM ET$21.50Jan 26, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$21.50Jan 26, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$21.30Jan 26, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner$3.24Jan 25, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage$3.12Jan 25, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.12Jan 25, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$20.02Jan 25, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage$10.00Jan 25, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 3PM ET$30.02Jan 25, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 3PM ET$15.63Jan 25, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$15.67Jan 25, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$21.75Jan 25, 19:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $16.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 20:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 17:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.