Lively-Assistant
0x4c6172ad15f36f1ac145db02fdac8c177de0021c
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$19.48
Total PnL
$-76.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?
19 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$19.48
$4.48
- YES
RFK Jr. wins a state?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
110 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-9.35
- NO
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?
42 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Another New Popular Front member next Prime Minister of France?
35 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-19.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$39.31Nov 6, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$137.39Nov 6, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump gets more black voters than in 2020?$15.00Nov 5, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$32.00Nov 5, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill France recognize Palestine before September?$0.00Nov 5, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open?$0.00Sep 4, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open?$15.00Aug 24, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$20.00Aug 14, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) win Gold in Men's Tennis?$0.00Aug 14, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?$0.00Aug 14, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden announce resignation by July 31?$0.00Aug 14, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win Gold in Men's Basketball?$5.00Aug 14, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$90.00Aug 14, 11:35 UTC
- SPLITWill Spain win Gold in Men's Basketball?$5.00Jul 30, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win Gold in Men's Basketball?$15.00Jul 30, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) win Gold in Men's Tennis?$10.00Jul 30, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$15.00Jul 26, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump in jail before election day?$20.42Jul 26, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump in jail before election day?$8.38Jul 25, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother New Popular Front member next Prime Minister of France? $19.25Jul 23, 21:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $26.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 12:42 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 12:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".