Thankful-Praise
0x4c687af5c4db273efd6f6b1c3cb7185436d0cef5
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-153.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will another app be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
5 shares @ 2.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$5.00
$4.88
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
30 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
30 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
30 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
30 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on December 9?
10 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.83
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
10 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
10 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
10 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.06Jan 7, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 55-56°F on December 8?$5.00Jan 7, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Jingle Bell Heist" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 9, 2025)$5.00Jan 7, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on December 8?$5.00Jan 7, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.00Jan 7, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 10?$5.00Jan 7, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 50-51°F on December 8?$5.00Jan 7, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on December 9?$5.00Jan 7, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Do Kwon be sentenced to 12+ years in prison?$5.00Jan 7, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$5.00Jan 7, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on December 8?$5.00Jan 7, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)$5.00Jan 7, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6% in November?$5.00Jan 7, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Battlefield 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2025 Game Awards?$5.00Jan 7, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?$5.00Jan 7, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hollow Knight: Silksong win 1 award at the 2025 Game Awards?$5.00Jan 7, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Umamusume: Pretty Derby win Best Mobile Game at the 2025 Game Awards?$5.00Jan 7, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?$5.00Jan 7, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Art Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?$5.00Jan 7, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Independent Game at the 2025 Game Awards?$5.00Jan 7, 03:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $1.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 23:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 03:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".