Elaborate-Hardship
0x4c6b228ecb373dfa1c8729f682992e0b97aa2eaf
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$25.85
Total PnL
$-19.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
301 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$10.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$9.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
519 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$3.37
$-1.63
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
320 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.76
$-4.24
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-05-31?
184 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.09
$-13.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$6.29May 31, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$5.25May 31, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$10.48May 31, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$10.44May 31, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$16.36May 31, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$5.24May 31, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$18.31May 31, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$5.26May 31, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$2.35May 31, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.04May 31, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$0.00May 31, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$0.00May 31, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$10.62May 31, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$4.02May 31, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-05-31?$10.27May 31, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-05-31?$4.11May 31, 20:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $7.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 20:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 22:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".