Thick-Alien
0x4c6f6ce325d172df6aabf8499094a5c9e84e77c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$63.64
Total PnL
$-516.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?
45 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$44.64
$19.64
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
927 shares @ 36.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.00
$-321.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
683 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-15?
84 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
51 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?
48 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?
32 shares @ 61.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?
17 shares @ 58.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
17 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC leading at halftime?$25.00Mar 17, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?$25.00Mar 11, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?$10.00Mar 11, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?$10.00Mar 11, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-15?$10.00Mar 11, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?$10.00Mar 11, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?$10.00Mar 11, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score$25.00Mar 11, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$40.00Mar 9, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$5.00Mar 7, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$50.00Mar 7, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$250.00Mar 4, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$100.00Mar 4, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$10.00Mar 4, 17:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $41.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 17:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 17:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".