Shadowy-Weapon
0x4c709059f6a4897e121a2234af9b1790f2b62538
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$412.09
Total PnL
$53.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?
412 shares @ 85.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$412.09
$58.27
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 October 13-19?
865 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 October 13-19?
515 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $128,000 October 13-19?
510 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?$353.82Feb 24, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$1.00Nov 26, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$1.01Nov 26, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$1.00Oct 27, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$1.00Oct 23, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $122,000 October 13-19?$1.00Oct 18, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $124,000 October 13-19?$1.00Oct 18, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $128,000 October 13-19?$1.00Oct 18, 17:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $51.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 17:33 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 03:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.