Polished-Hardboard
0x4c78469425d6dfb9a6f7ec9e68898bc6d6624841
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-62.28
Win rate
33%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
667 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
514 shares @ 48.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-250.63
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
451 shares @ 66.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
388 shares @ 82.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-322.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
339 shares @ 53.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-181.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
337 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-178.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
286 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
224 shares @ 88.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-198.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
175 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$22.37Jun 13, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$21.75Jun 13, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.01Jun 13, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$13.74Jun 13, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$2.14Jun 12, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$1.44Jun 12, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.40Jun 12, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$11.07Jun 12, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$105.95Jun 12, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$49.41Jun 12, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$102.13Jun 12, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$19.94Jun 12, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$103.71Jun 12, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$29.78Jun 12, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$103.46Jun 12, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$18.71Jun 12, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$51.64Jun 12, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$135.67Jun 12, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$103.85Jun 12, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$109.92Jun 12, 14:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $53.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 13:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 08:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.